Triad rain chances; severe weather risk next week in North Carolina (2025)

WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. AND THE QUESTION IS, WILL IT INTERFERE WITH A NASCAR RACE AT THE COOKOUT 400? AND IT DOES LOOK LIKE THERE’S AT LEAST A CHANCE TO GET SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS GOING. IF NOT BEFORE DURING THE RACE. SO WE’RE GOING TO TALK ABOUT THAT IN A MINUTE. YOU CAN SEE SOME OF THOSE SCATTERED SHOWERS LIFTING IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST THAT FLOW REALLY MOVING IN FROM THE GULF. WE REALLY NEED TO TAP INTO MORE OF THAT RAIN AND MOISTURE, THOUGH, FROM THE GULF IN ORDER FOR IT TO REALLY FILL IN FOR US. WE’VE GOT TEMPERATURES AT 74 IN WINSTON-SALEM, 76 IN POTTSTOWN, YOU’RE AT 61 IN SPARTA. AND THOSE SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO BUILD AS WE HEAD INTO TOMORROW MORNING FOR THE MOUNTAINS. SO A LITTLE SOONER THERE FOR THE ARRIVAL OF RAIN CHANCES. WE’VE GOT HIGHS TODAY THAT HIT 80 DEGREES IN BURLINGTON, 77 IN GREENSBORO, ANOTHER DAY OF UPPER 70S. AND SO WE’RE ABOUT TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. NOT BAD RIGHT. WE’VE GOT VERY HIGH POLLEN COUNTS THAT HAVE BEEN WITH US. NOW WE’RE AT HIGH LEVELS EXPECTED FOR YOUR SUNDAY WITH GRASSES STARTING TO DROP OFF JUST A TOUCH TO AT THE LOWER END OF THE MODERATE LEVEL OR HIGH END OF THE LOW. AND WEEDS ARE STILL WITH US TOO. SO IF YOU’RE AN ALLERGY SUFFERER, NOT ONLY DO YOU HAVE TO DEAL WITH THE POLLEN, BUT THE SMOKE THAT HAS BEEN INFILTRATING THROUGH THE AREA, TOO. NOW THE HEAVIEST IS DOWN OUT OVER AREAS OF ASHEVILLE AND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA. BUT THE BURN BAN THAT CONTINUES, AND WE DO EXPECT TO SEE DRY WINDS BEHIND THE NEXT FRONT, EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE THE RAIN ON THE WAY. SO WE’LL HAVE TO SEE IF THEY DO LET THAT BURN BAN DROP. WE MAY NOT. WE GET THOSE SMOKY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS REALLY LIFTING NORTH OF THE ASHEVILLE AREA. SO THE FLOW CURRENTLY TAKING A LOT OF THAT SMOKE, AT LEAST THE DENSEST SMOKE UP ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY AS WE HEAD EAST THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND EVEN THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. ALTHOUGH WE TALK ABOUT RAIN CHANCES, IT’S NOT GOING TO RAIN ALL DAY. WE WILL STILL SEE SOME OF THAT SMOKE AND PARTICULATE MATTER FILL IN OVER THE PIEDMOT TRIAD. SO I DO WANT YOU TO BE CAUTIOUS AND WATCH OUT IF YOU’RE UNUSUALLY SENSITIVE TO SMOKE AND PARTICULATE MATTER, ESPECIALLY SO HIGH TEMPERATURES OUT THERE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ARE GOING TO BE WARM. WE’RE IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S. WE DIP DOWN A LITTLE BIT THROUGH MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, BUT THEN WE SWING YOU BACK IN THE OTHER DIRECTION. IT ALMOST FEELS LIKE MAY OR EARLY JUNE. BY THE TIME WE’RE DONE. WE’VE GOT 59 DEGREES FOR YOU. EARLY MORNING AT 6 A.M. WITH TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES, I DON’T THINK WE’RE GOING TO BE ABLE TO GET MUCH RAIN GOING UNTIL WE HIT MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON. AND NOW YESTERDAY WE WERE TALKING ABOUT MAYBE BY NOONTIME SEEING SOME SHOWERS. IT LOOKS A LITTLE BIT MORE DELAYED AND RAIN CHANCES STARTING TO BUILD FOR LATE AFTERNOON FROM THE FOOTHILLS AND INTO THE PIEDMONT TRIAD AS WELL. THE MOUNTAINS. YOU’VE GOT RAIN CHANCES HERE. THEY’RE GOING TO START IN THE MORNING HOURS AND REALLY BEGIN TO FILL IN THROUGH LATER IN THE DAY, AND A STEADIER FLOW OF THAT GULF MOISTURE. NOW YOU’RE A LOT CLOSER TO IN THE HIGH COUNTRY TO SEEING THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. ALL OF THIS BEGINS TO PUSH TO THE EAST. WE COULD SEE AN OUTBREAK TOMORROW FROM LITTLE ROCK, ALL THE WAY THROUGH NASHVILLE AND UP THROUGH PARTS OF OHIO, WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES BREAKING OUT. BY THE TIME WE TALK ABOUT YOUR SUNDAY, JUST GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS, MAYBE A LATE NIGHT THUNDERSTORM GETTING GOING OVER THE MOUNTAINS AS WE GO INTO EARLY MORNING ON MONDAY. AND THAT’S THE CONCERN FOR RISK OF TORNADOES, ALSO DAMAGING WINDS. AND YOU SEE THAT SLIGHT RISK AREA SPREADS TO THE EAST. AS WE HEAD THROUGH YOUR MONDAY. HERE’S WHAT THE HOUR BY HOUR LOOKS LIKE. YOU CAN SEE THOSE SCATTERED SHOWERS OUT THERE ON YOUR SUNDAY BUILDING BETWEEN 2 AND 3:00. NOW RACE TIME IS 3:00 FOR FOLKS IN MARTINSVILLE, SO IF THEY DON’T HAVE A SHOWER BY THEN, THEY’LL LIKELY BE ABLE TO START THE RACE. AND THE QUESTION IS, DO WE GET THIS LINE TO FILL IN AND MOVE EAST THIS QUICKLY? WE MAY NOT, BUT WE’VE GOT THOSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A RAIN CHANCE OF 50% FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS INTO THE EVENING ON SUNDAY, AND EXPECTING AT LEAST INITIAL LINE TO FILL IN AS WE GO INTO LATE NIGHT SUNDAY BEFORE WE HAVE ANOTHER ROUND ON MONDAY MORNING. AND THAT WILL BE OUR FIRST ROUND OF ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER AND ANOTHER ROUND POSSIBLE BY LATE DAY ON MONDAY. SO HERE’S YOUR SEVEN DAY FORECAST. SHOWERS. STORMS. WE NEED THE RAIN ABOUT A HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY, TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. YOUR DRIER AND THEN WE SWING YOU INTO THE 80S TO END THE WEEK. IT'